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Combinatorics


Probability & Statistics




© The scientific sentence. 2010


Probability & statistics




1. Gaussian distribution


We have seen that:
The Gaussian distribution: P(x) = 1/σ(2π)1/2 exp {- (x - μ)2/2σ2}

2. Normal distribution is a density probability

The normal distribution, or Gaussian distribution 
pμ(x) is a density probability, because it 
satisies the two following criteria:
- 1.  p(x) ≥ 0, and
- 2.  &int p(x) dx = 1 [x: - ∞ → + ∞]

-1. p(x) is ≥ 0 as we can see in its graph at the bottom,
-2. &int p(x) dx ≟ 1

&int p(x) dx [x: - ∞ → + ∞] 
= ∫ (1/2πμ)1/2 exp {- (x - μ)2/2μ} dx 
= (1/2πμ)1/2  ∫ exp {- (x - μ)2/2μ} dx 

Let's write:
y2 = (x - μ)2/2μ  or 
y = (x - μ)/(2μ)1/2 

Then dy = dx /(2μ)1/2 

I = ∫ exp {- (x - μ)2/2μ} dx 
=  (2μ)1/2  ∫ exp {- y2} dy

J =  ∫ exp {- y2} dy 
J2 = ∫∫ exp {- x2}dx  ∫ exp {- y2} dy 
= ∫ ∫ exp {- (x2 + y2 )}dxdy
= ∫ ∫ exp {- r2}r dr dθ
[r: 0 → + ∞ and θ 0 → π]
= π ∫ exp {- r2}r dr
= (π/2) ∫ exp {- r2} 2r dr 
= 2 exp {- r2}
[r: 0 → + ∞]
= π

Then:
J = π1/2
I = (2μ)1/2  π1/2 = (2 π μ)1/2
&int p(x) dx = (1/2πμ)1/2 I = 
= (1/2πμ)1/2  (2 π μ)1/2 = 1

The total area under the curve is 1.00: ∫(1/2πμ)1/2 exp {- (x - μ)2/2μ} dx = 1
We can also verify that:
∫ x p(x) dx = μ [x: - ∞ → + ∞] , and ∫ (x - μ)2 p(x) dx = σ2 [x: - ∞ → + ∞ ]

2. Some properties of the normal distribution


The area under the curve between any two values is a probability; 
that is the chance to find a value between these two values.
P(a < x <: b) = ∫ P(x) dx [x: a → b ]

with :
x = μ + 0 x σ , have: 
P(x) = (1/2πμ)1/2 
x = μ + 1  x σ , have: 
P(x) = (1/2πμ)1/2 exp{- 1/2} = 60.6% (1/2πμ)1/2
x = μ + 2 σ , have: 
P(x) = (1/2πμ)1/2 exp{- 2} = 13.5% (1/2πμ)1/2
x = μ + 3 σ , have: 
P(x) = (1/2πμ)1/2 exp{- 9/2} = 1.1% (1/2πμ)1/2

- The total area under the curve is 1.00

The related empirical rule shows:
- Approximately 68% (∫p(x)dx [- σ → + σ ]) of values 
lies within 1 standard deviation of the mean,
- About 95% (∫p(x)dx [- 2σ → + 2σ ]) of the values 
are within two standard deviations,and 
- About 99.7% (∫p(x)dx [- 3σ → + 3σ ]) 
lie within three standard deviations.

3. Standard rormal distribution


The Standard normal distribution stands on 0.
That is the mean μ is zero. The standard deviation σ = 1.
Its expression is:
The Standard Normal Distribution: P(x) = 1/(2π)1/2 exp {- x2/2}

  
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